That doesn’t mean that the setting won’t work by taking this into account, but it does mean that Balican kola nuts aren’t sold in Tyr
I don’t think the boxed set carefully considered the economics of all its prices, but nevertheless, the trade as proposed totally pencils out:
All prices here per the boxed set:
A mekillot costs 20 cp. It needs 300 lbs of food and 16 gallons (80 lbs) of water a day.
A crew member (soldier/driver/etc) can be hired for .2 bits per day. A crew of 20 therefore costs 4 cp a day. We’ll stipulate that food and water is provided as part of the contract for an additional 4 cp a day.
A 40,000 ton armored wagon can be acquired for 1,000 cp.
Per the 2E distance calculator, Balic to Tyr is a journey of 10 days traveling 10 hours per day at the slowest movement rate.
The fixed cost of the 10-day caravan is 1,000 cp (wagon) + 40 cp (2 mekillots) + 40 cp (10 days of crew) + 80 cp (8 tuns of water) + 800 cp (8,000 lbs of food) + 40 cp (miscellaneous) = 2,000 CP.
The total weight of this cargo is around 18,000 lbs, leaving 22,000 lbs of cargo capacity.
Kola nuts are 4 cp per pound at their base price in the Athasian emporium. Thus we would conclude the cost of 22,000 lbs of kola nuts is 88,000 cp in Balic.
Dune Trader stipulates that prices are often double in cities where they’re rare. So that’d be 8 cp per lb. You could sell this cargo for 176,000 cp in Tyr, and turn a profit of 86,000 cp. But even if you feel this implies inelastic demand (I disagree… people would certainly buy less kola nuts at this price but it’s a luxury and nobles won’t stop buying them entirely), even if the price is just 5 cp in Tyr, then the merchant can sell his cargo for 110,000 ceramic pieces, resulting in a profit of 20,000 ceramic pieces.
Although the prices and weights aren’t really part of a holistic economic system, we can still use them to pencil out whether caravans and goods, as statted, lead to kola nuts being sold in Tyr. The answer is that they would and it’s fairly profitable to successfully transport a cargo of kola nuts from Balic to Tyr in a conventional DS argosy caravan. The merchant houses, of course, would drive their costs even lower by obtaining items at better than market rates, reusing wagons, reusing mekillots, doing better-than-average at defending their caravans, refueling at way points rather than transporting the food and water for an entire journey, etc.
If you want silt skimmers in the desert it’s fine by me. Seems like they’re badly designed for the task at hand, especially when the argosy-based trade pencils out just fine.